Nova Ubiratã vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Ubiratã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
SOR
1 - 1
NOU
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NOU
1 - 0
TAN
30%
24%
45%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
SIN
0 - 0
NOU
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
LUV
2 - 0
NOU
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NOU
2 - 1
SOR
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +5 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LUV
2 - 1
SOR
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
LUV
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LUV
3 - 0
SIN
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
LUV
2 - 0
NOU
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SOR
1 - 6
LUV
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |