Nova Cidade vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
NCI
1 - 0
DUQ
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
NCI
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
NCI
0 - 1
CAA
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TIG
2 - 3
NCI
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NCI
0 - 0
SER
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAM
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
4 - 0
SFC
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SFC
3 - 2
PET
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
SFC
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 0
SAO
15%
20%
66%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |