Nova Cidade vs Serra Macaense analysis

Nova Cidade Serra Macaense
35 ELO 36
-10.8% Tilt -9.2%
40520º General ELO ranking 23103º
1197º Country ELO ranking 686º
ELO win probability
37.1%
Nova Cidade
22.8%
Draw
40.1%
Serra Macaense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
Nova Cidade
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.1%
Win probability
Serra Macaense
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nova Cidade
+47%
-37%
Serra Macaense

ELO progression

Nova Cidade
Serra Macaense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Cidade
Nova Cidade
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2023
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 1
Nova Cidade
NCI
43%
23%
34%
35 35 0 0
21 Oct. 2023
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
27%
22%
51%
34 41 7 +1
14 Oct. 2023
NCI
Nova Cidade
4 - 0
Pérolas Negras
PER
21%
21%
58%
29 45 16 +5
08 Oct. 2023
SFC
Serrano FC
3 - 0
Nova Cidade
NCI
58%
23%
18%
29 48 19 0
30 Sep. 2023
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 1
Barra da Tijuca
BAR
21%
21%
58%
28 42 14 +1

Matches

Serra Macaense
Serra Macaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2023
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 3
Pérolas Negras
PER
30%
24%
46%
37 42 5 0
21 Oct. 2023
SFC
Serrano FC
2 - 2
Serra Macaense
SER
58%
24%
18%
37 48 11 0
13 Oct. 2023
SER
Serra Macaense
1 - 4
Barra da Tijuca
BAR
33%
26%
41%
38 42 4 -1
08 Oct. 2023
CIG
7 de Abril
0 - 6
Serra Macaense
SER
25%
22%
53%
37 29 8 +1
29 Sep. 2023
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 1
Paduano
PAD
25%
23%
53%
38 44 6 -1