Nova Cidade vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FRI
5 - 0
NCI
76%
14%
9%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NCI
2 - 1
ITA
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BON
4 - 0
NCI
75%
16%
8%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 1
NCI
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
NCI
0 - 2
SAM
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
OLA
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 1
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 0
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |