Nova Cidade vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
61%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
NCI
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
NCI
0 - 1
CAA
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TIG
2 - 3
NCI
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NCI
0 - 0
SER
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FRI
5 - 0
NCI
76%
14%
9%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 0
DUQ
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DUQ
0 - 0
AUD
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 2
DUQ
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AME
35%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |