Macapá vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ECM
0 - 1
YAP
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
RIO
4 - 1
ECM
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
MAN
10%
16%
73%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +4 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
TDC
0 - 0
SPM
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 0
SPM
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
TDC
4 - 1
SPM
47%
26%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SPM
0 - 2
YAP
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |