Macapá vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
27%
23%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 3
IAP
51%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
0 - 0
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
YAP
0 - 3
ECM
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
27%
23%
51%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SEC
2 - 4
SPM
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
3 - 5
YAP
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 2
SAN
29%
24%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
0 - 2
IAP
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |