Macapá vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
ECM
2 - 0
SEC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
ECM
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
ECM
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
ECM
1 - 0
SPM
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SEC
0 - 0
ECM
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SPM
1 - 2
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SEC
1 - 2
SPM
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
ECM
1 - 0
SPM
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPM
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
TDC
1 - 0
SPM
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |