Macapá vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
IAP
3 - 1
ECM
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
ECM
1 - 1
YAP
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ECM
1 - 1
SEC
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ECM
3 - 1
TDC
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SPM
0 - 0
ECM
33%
23%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SPM
5 - 1
SEC
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SPM
0 - 0
SAO
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPM
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
IAP
2 - 2
SPM
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SPM
0 - 0
ECM
33%
23%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |