Macapá vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
1 - 2
SAO
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
4 - 1
SPM
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
3 - 1
IAP
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
3 - 3
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
1 - 1
SPM
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SPM
2 - 1
MAC
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
4 - 1
SPM
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SPM
0 - 1
MAC
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
YAP
3 - 1
SPM
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |