Macapá vs São José AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
4 - 1
SPM
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ECM
3 - 1
IAP
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
3 - 3
ORC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
ECM
1 - 1
TDC
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 3
SEC
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
0 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SEC
1 - 0
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |