Macapá vs São José AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
ECM
2 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
51%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
ECM
0 - 1
YAP
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 0
ECM
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
ECM
1 - 1
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
4 - 2
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAC
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
ECM
2 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
51%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 2
SPM
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |