Amapaense Final
Global 2-10
Macapá vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
ECM
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 1
IAP
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
ECM
2 - 2
IAP
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
TDC
2 - 1
ECM
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
YAP
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
23%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPM
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
TDC
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |