Macapá vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
TDC
3 - 2
ECM
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
1 - 2
SPM
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
27%
23%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 3
IAP
51%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SEC
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MOT
16%
23%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
TDC
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |