Macapá vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
ECM
1 - 2
SPM
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
ECM
2 - 0
SEC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
ECM
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
ECM
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
ECM
1 - 0
SPM
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
SEC
0 - 1
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SPM
1 - 2
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
ECM
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
ECM
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SEC
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |