Macapá vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
60.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SPM
0 - 0
ECM
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 2
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ECM
0 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 0
GAL
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
GAL
2 - 2
RIO
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 0
ATL
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 0
SCH
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 2
GAL
32%
22%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |