Macapá vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
ECM
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
ECM
2 - 1
BAR
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECM
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 2
ECM
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 4
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 2
ECM
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAY
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |