Macapá vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
ORC
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
ECM
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
3 - 0
YAP
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
0 - 1
AFC
9%
16%
76%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
4 - 1
SPM
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 3
TDC
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
2 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |