Macapá vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
63.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
ECM
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
ECM
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
0 - 1
TDC
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SEC
3 - 4
ECM
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 1
ECM
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 6
IAP
17%
18%
64%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 0
SPM
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
YAP
61%
19%
19%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
IAP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |