Macapá vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
TDC
2 - 1
ECM
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 0
ECM
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
SPM
0 - 2
ECM
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
ECM
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
53%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 0
IAP
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
TDC
0 - 1
IAP
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 1
SPM
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
IAP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |