Macapá vs Independente AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macapá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
0 - 0
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
YAP
0 - 3
ECM
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
SEC
0 - 3
ECM
32%
24%
43%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
50%
25%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
IAP
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
0 - 2
IAP
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SEC
1 - 2
IAP
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
IAP
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
IAP
1 - 0
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |