EC Itauna vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
SOC
1 - 0
URT
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
URT
1 - 2
VAL
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
URT
1 - 1
UBE
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
FEC
2 - 1
URT
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
URT
2 - 1
USC
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |