EC Itauna vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 2
ECI
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FEC
3 - 1
ECI
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ECI
3 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 3
FEC
55%
23%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
ECI
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
TOM
2 - 2
FEC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
TOM
4 - 0
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
TOM
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |