EC Itauna vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
ECI
2 - 0
FEC
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 1
ECI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ARA
1 - 1
ECI
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ECI
0 - 0
AMF
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 1
ECI
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
IPA
2 - 4
CAL
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
ULU
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
UBE
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |