Biguaçú vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biguaçú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ECB
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ECB
3 - 1
XVO
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
IMB
4 - 0
ECB
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
3 - 0
ECB
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ECB
2 - 1
TUB
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +4 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
TUB
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
CAX
17%
21%
61%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
XVO
1 - 0
CAX
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 4
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |