Bahía vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
BAH
12%
22%
66%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAH
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 3
BAH
16%
24%
59%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
6 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 1
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 2
SDJ
86%
10%
3%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |