Bahía vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 4
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
FEI
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
BAH
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
SDJ
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
3 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 0
BAH
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
VIT
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 5
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |