Bahía vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
BOT
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
ATP
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 1
AMF
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 4
CRZ
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
RAC
29%
25%
47%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
VAS
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
RAC
4 - 0
VAS
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |