Bahía vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
AME
2 - 0
BAH
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAH
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
BAH
0 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATM
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 1
FOR
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
BRU
1 - 2
RFC
54%
28%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
RFC
0 - 0
CSA
31%
31%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ITU
2 - 0
RFC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RFC
0 - 4
LON
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ANA
0 - 0
RFC
42%
30%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |