Bahía vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
DES
0 - 0
BAH
35%
31%
35%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
BAH
1 - 0
AME
63%
24%
13%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
BAH
0 - 1
FFL
48%
27%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
CAM
2 - 5
BAH
32%
31%
37%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1975 |
BAH
0 - 0
GOI
61%
25%
15%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1975 |
NAU
2 - 0
AME
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CSA
0 - 2
NAU
32%
30%
38%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 0
ARN
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 2
POR
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |