Bahía vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
61%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 0
CRB
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 1
ITA
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 1
BAH
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
61%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
JAC
3 - 0
SDJ
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SDJ
0 - 1
JAC
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 4
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 0
SDJ
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |