Bahía vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 0
VAS
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAH
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
SCI
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COT
2 - 2
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JAC
0 - 1
JUA
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 0
JAC
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
JAC
2 - 2
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
JAC
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
JAC
2 - 1
BAH
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |