Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Bahía vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
BAH
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
PAL
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 2
CRZ
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
5 - 1
COT
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
AMF
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |