Bahía vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 2
BAH
24%
29%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATP
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
BAH
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
50%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAM
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |