Bahía vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
COR
3 - 0
BAH
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 4
PAL
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
BAH
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
4 - 0
UCE
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |