Bahía vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
IPI
4 - 0
BAH
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 1
CFC
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 0
MDE
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
COT
0 - 0
JMA
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
COT
1 - 0
CIA
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
COT
3 - 0
ACP
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
LON
2 - 1
COT
14%
22%
64%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
COT
2 - 1
NPR
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |