Bahía vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAH
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
BAH
1 - 2
PPE
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
SCI
3 - 2
BAH
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
BAH
2 - 1
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
GUA
2 - 2
BAH
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOT
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
SPO
2 - 2
BOT
41%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 0
GAM
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLA
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |