Bahía vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
PPE
0 - 3
BAH
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
COR
3 - 0
BAH
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 4
COT
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
AVA
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
PPE
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |