Bahía vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
BAH
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
ITA
93%
6%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
BAR
95%
5%
1%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
BAH
10%
21%
70%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 2
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
ARN
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARN
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 7
ARN
11%
22%
67%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 0
GLO
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |