Bahía vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAH
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
5 - 0
ALT
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
BAH
6%
16%
78%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
4 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 3
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 0
ADA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 3
ALA
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 1
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |