EC Avenida vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
YPI
1 - 1
ECA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GFC
0 - 1
ECA
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ECA
2 - 1
GAU
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ECA
0 - 0
VER
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
ECA
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
URS
1 - 3
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
URS
0 - 0
PAN
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
URS
1 - 2
GFC
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 0
URS
43%
24%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |