EC Avenida vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ECA
1 - 2
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
ECA
1 - 0
BRA
38%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
URS
0 - 1
ECA
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
URS
2 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
URS
1 - 1
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
URS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 3
URS
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
URS
0 - 1
ECA
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |