EC Avenida vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECA
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ECA
2 - 0
YPI
11%
21%
69%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
ECA
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ECA
0 - 1
GRE
4%
16%
80%
|
50 | 90 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 0
ECA
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ECS
1 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
SCI
2%
18%
80%
|
47 | 91 | 44 | +1 |