Gaucho 2 Knock-out stages Semi-finals
Global 2-3
EC Avenida vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
ECA
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 0
VER
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ISM
0 - 0
ECA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
ECA
27%
27%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
SGA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ISM
2 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |