EC Avenida vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
ECA
3 - 1
SGA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
ECA
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 1
LAJ
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SGA
0 - 1
ECA
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
LAJ
0 - 0
ECA
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
LAJ
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEB
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |