EC Avenida vs Guarany de Bagé analysis

EC Avenida Guarany de Bagé
46 ELO 45
-15.9% Tilt -18.6%
3908º General ELO ranking 4031º
125º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
42.5%
EC Avenida
24.3%
Draw
33.1%
Guarany de Bagé

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
EC Avenida
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.1%
Win probability
Guarany de Bagé
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC Avenida
+33%
+52%
Guarany de Bagé

ELO progression

EC Avenida
Guarany de Bagé
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Avenida
EC Avenida
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2021
ECA
EC Avenida
3 - 1
São Gabriel
SGA
63%
22%
15%
46 34 12 0
18 Sep. 2021
GUA
Guarani RS
1 - 0
EC Avenida
ECA
31%
26%
43%
47 38 9 -1
16 Sep. 2021
ECA
EC Avenida
0 - 1
Lajeadense
LAJ
51%
25%
24%
48 44 4 -1
12 Sep. 2021
SGA
São Gabriel
0 - 1
EC Avenida
ECA
22%
23%
55%
48 37 11 0
03 Sep. 2021
LAJ
Lajeadense
0 - 0
EC Avenida
ECA
29%
27%
44%
48 42 6 0

Matches

Guarany de Bagé
Guarany de Bagé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2021
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
2 - 1
Lajeadense
LAJ
38%
24%
38%
43 45 2 0
15 Sep. 2021
SAO
São Paulo RS
0 - 0
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
48%
23%
29%
43 45 2 0
10 Sep. 2021
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
1 - 0
GE Bagé
GEB
47%
24%
29%
42 40 2 +1
05 Sep. 2021
GEB
GE Bagé
1 - 1
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
31%
24%
46%
42 40 2 0
02 Sep. 2021
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
2 - 1
São Paulo RS
SAO
29%
24%
47%
41 47 6 +1