EC Avenida vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECA
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ECA
3 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ECA
2 - 0
PEL
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ISM
0 - 3
ECA
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
SGA
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 3
GUA
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 3
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |