Ebusua Dwarfs vs Hearts of Oak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebusua Dwarfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MIG
0 - 0
EBU
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EBU
1 - 0
BER
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HEA
1 - 1
EBU
45%
29%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EBU
2 - 0
BEC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASH
1 - 1
EBU
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hearts of Oak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HEA
2 - 0
NEW
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
WAS
0 - 1
HEA
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HEA
0 - 0
BER
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HEA
2 - 1
MIG
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
HEA
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |