Ebusua Dwarfs vs Heart of Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebusua Dwarfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ASH
2 - 1
EBU
50%
29%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
EBU
0 - 2
AMI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
EBU
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EBU
0 - 0
ASA
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
REA
0 - 2
EBU
50%
28%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HEA
1 - 0
NEW
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 1
HEA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HEA
2 - 0
HEA
39%
31%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MED
1 - 0
HEA
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
HEA
1 - 1
BER
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |