Ebolitana vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
EBO
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
EBO
1 - 3
ASD
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 0
EBO
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
EBO
2 - 0
ACI
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
EBO
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
ACP
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
AEE
55%
21%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 0
MES
59%
23%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
USV
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
MES
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |