Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
BIS
0 - 3
EBB
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EBB
4 - 1
WEA
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
CHM
2 - 1
EBB
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 0
EBB
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
EBB
4 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 1
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
6 - 0
HAL
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
LOW
2 - 2
YEL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 0
ENF
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 2
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |